The RFK factor: Can Kennedy make a difference in 2024?

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has his running mate, completing what has so far been the highest-polling independent presidential ticket in more than 30 years.

Not since Ross Perot first ran for president in 1992 has a candidate polled as well for the White House without a major-party affiliation. Perot even led former President George H.W. Bush and his eventual Democratic successor, then Arkansas Gov. Bill Clinton, head-to-head at one point.

Kennedy’s numbers have a much wider range. The longtime activist and son of the former attorney general, senator, and 1968 Democratic presidential candidate ranges from a high of 15% nationally in a recent Harvard-Harris poll to 2% in an Economist/YouGov survey, both released this month. He stands at 9.9% in the RealClearPolitics polling average.

Perot received 19%
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