Republican House majority will stay tight with special elections to replace fleeing members months away

Rep. Ken Buck‘s (R-CO) announcement on Tuesday that he will be leaving Congress at the end of next week has taken a narrow GOP House majority and put it on life support.

With Buck’s exit, Republicans will only maintain a 218-213 majority after next week, which is expected to shrink to a 218-214 majority when a special election is held to fill a vacant Democratic seat at the end of April. As Republicans look to avoid losing their thin House majority, here is when the GOP can expect reinforcements to bring their majority back from the brink.

Former Rep. Kevin McCarthy’s seat

The former House speaker left Congress on Dec. 31, 2023, less than three months after being ousted from the speakership. His seat, California’s 20th Congressional District, is rated “solid Republican” by the CookPoliticalReport, with a
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