(The Center Square) – Voting for the winning candidate 64.5% of the time since 1900, North Carolina has carved a bellwether spot in presidential elections.
And that’s even missing the last one.
The trend is notable alongside a new poll that, so far, is an outlier in margin though not in choice. In analysis April 8-14 of 703 registered voters in the state, former Republican President Donald Trump outdistanced Democratic President Joe Biden 51%-41% as the only two names on the ballot, and 48%-38% with five candidates listed.
The sampling was by Bloomberg News/Morning Consult. The margin of error is +/-4%.
In a two-day polling of 600 registered voters the same week by Carolina Journal, Trump led Biden 43.4%-39%. That poll’s credibility interval was +/-3.99%.
In a poll conducted March 22-30 by High Point University with 829 registered voters, Trump led Biden 45%-42%. The credibility interval
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