GOP losses in rankings shake-up haven’t crushed party’s chance of keeping the House

Republicans are poised to control the House after the 2024 general election despite recent shake-ups with resignations. 

Seventy-two races are predicted to be competitive this year, which is more than the 65 competitive races in the 2022 midterm election. At the moment, according to Roll Call, Republicans represent 15 seats rated as “Toss-up,” “Tilt Democratic,” or “Tilt Republican,” while Democrats control 13 of those seats. 

“It’s going to come down to these tossups, and Democrats would have to win around two-thirds of them to take the majority,” Erin Covey, the House analyst at the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, told the New York Times

Right now, Democrats need a net gain of four seats to gain control of the House after the special election to replace former Rep. George Santos (R-NY) flipped
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