Republicans’ House hijinks haven’t made the math for Democrats winning back control any better

Despite months of turmoil and fractures within the House Republican Conference, the GOP remains in a better position to win control of the next House than Democrats.

While Republican retirements and infighting have weakened the House GOP’s margin for error, its prospects still look good heading into November, according to an analysis from Inside Elections.

There are 188 races currently regarded as solidly in control of Republicans and 28 rated as lean, tilt, or likely Republican, bringing the total for the GOP to 216 seats. This means the Republicans only need to win two of the 10 seats rated as “toss-ups” to reach 218 and secure a majority. 

As for the Democrats, there are currently 175 seats rated as solidly Democratic. Thirty-four seats are regarded as lean, tilt, or likely Democratic, bringing their total to 209. In order for
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