A new memo analyzing 11 recent polls identified two groups of voters that may tilt the 2024 election in favor of either former President Donald Trump or President Joe Biden.
The Blueprint memo released Thursday took an in-depth look at Biden “defectors” who voted for him in 2020 but plan to vote for Trump this cycle, as well as those who voted for former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley in the GOP primary, who are characterized as “up for grabs.”
“These Haley voters are being pushed out of the Republican coalition by two simultaneous factors: personal revulsion towards Donald Trump and the rightward slide of the party itself,” Blueprint’s head pollster Evan Roth Smith told the Washington Examiner. “These two factors may, of course, be linked, as they see Trump empower new kinds of voices within the GOP while
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