The fork in the road to the GOP nomination

The Republican presidential race is at a crossroads. The month between New Hampshire and the next competitive primary in South Carolina will determine whether it is a contest or a coronation.

Former President Donald Trump has won the first two states. The primary fight has narrowed to a two-person race. Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley provided some resistance to Trump in New Hampshire, outperforming her poll numbers. The question is whether she can replicate or surpass this performance in her home state — or anywhere else.

On the one hand, the first two early states have shown substantial lingering discontent with Trump as the nominee. In Iowa, 49% of Republicans caucused for a candidate other than Trump. Haley received 43.4% by herself in New Hampshire. 

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