How the 2024 polls matched the final results

With politicos quickly turning their attention to New Hampshire and South Carolina, analysis shows that Iowa pollsters were accurate in predicting the first-in-the-nation caucus — with one caveat.

The final RealClearPolitics polling average had former President Donald Trump running away with 53% of the vote, followed by former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley with 19% and Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) holding down third place at 16%.

In the end, it was Haley who finished third, drawing 19%, with DeSantis in second at 21%, a result that will have an important impact on both of those campaigns even if the ultimate result, a Trump victory, remains the same.

J. Ann Selzer, whose firm conducts the highly respected Des Moines Register survey, noted the day after
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