Three reasons the Iowa caucuses could turn polling predictions upside down

Former President Donald Trump has a commanding lead ahead of his opponents in polling of the Iowa caucuses, but several factors could provide an unexpected result Monday night.

In the months leading up to the first-in-the-nation caucuses, Trump has strengthened his double-digit lead over competitors, with polls showing the support of more than half of Iowa Republicans. But the caucuses have yielded unpredictable results in the past, and the snowy forecast, same-day voter registration, and potential for persuasion could hand another candidate a victory.

Winter weather

Iowans could be in store for a record-breaking cold caucus night as forecasts predict temperatures hitting as low as minus 9 degrees in the state. The caucuses have been held since 1972, and the temperature on caucus night hasn’t fallen below 16 degrees.

Recent snowstorms have left
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