A high-turnout election could hand Florida to former Vice President Joe Biden, according to a new poll from Monmouth University.
The survey found that an election that sees a historically high number of voters gives Biden, the Democratic nominee, a significant advantage over President Trump in the Sunshine State. According to Monmouth’s model, a high-turnout election gives Biden 50% support among likely voters compared with Trump’s 45%. Those numbers are identical to who all registered voters support in Florida as well.
Under a low-turnout model, the race narrows slightly, with Biden earning 49% support compared with Trump’s 46%.