Kevin McCarthy argues GOP will defy history and take back the House

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy says Republicans will win back the majority from the Democrats this fall, though over 60 years of congressional election cycles suggest otherwise.

“If we want to take a fact that someone has lost the majority, we won it back in four years the last time we lost the majority,” McCarthy told the Washington Examiner, referring to House Republicans sweeping 2010 midterm win that retook the majority from Democrats after four years.

Nevertheless, according to FiveThirtyEight, Republicans face an uphill electoral battle from unfavorable polling and more open seats to protect, mostly due to Republican retirements. The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and
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