Nervous Democrats Hope Biden’s ‘Historic’ Lead Doesn’t Become Another Historic Polling Fail

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Polls show former Vice President Joe Biden leading the 2020 race for president, with CNN over the weekend suggesting his lead was the “steadiest” in any race with an incumbent “since at least 1944.” At the same time, experts say, Democrats would be remiss to place too much faith in those early numbers.

“Biden’s steady lead in the polls is not predictive of the final outcome,” American University Professor Allan Lichtman told Mediaite this week. Lichtman is known for developing 13 “keys” that successfully predict the outcome of most presidential elections, including President Donald Trump’s election in 2016.

He added that the polls showed signs of hope for Democrats, but were far from conclusive. “Early
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